Managed Futures – Probably the next best thing

im just too slow to new ideas. My recent read have led me to discover the beauty of managed futures funds and led me to wonder, its endless possibility.

If you’re wondering what managed futures are, google it, you lazy little cherry.

tldr: its just a fund that leverages futures contract to hedge their position, i.e 70% long 30% short with multiple nuances behind them.

You can literally make magic with little from this, upside is insane.

strongly advice you to look into it.

Rude Awakening – Bullish Gold?

Did you watch ray dalio’s youtube clip? If you have, did you bid RMB or china stonks?

You are probably down in RMB / Looks like the most ideal play here would be long gold short dollar and long-tail bet china stonks.

But what if you add BTC into the mix?

oops

A crowded trade

Current narrative for a bullish bitcoin:

  1. Halving
  2. CZ’s step-down / pleading guilty -> Nothing is holding crypto bacl
  3. Early ETF approval – Q1

As this narrative gets more populated, open interest keeps going up, even on CME. Don’t get trap buying the high. A pull back is imminent.

Cross-Pair Confluence for even more bullish Narrative;

  1. VIX
  2. SP500

Vix back to pre covid?

SP500 back to covid – helicopter printing?

it always pays to wait, if it doesn’t for you. Find a way to make it so

Best time to convert your USD to SGD?

Cross-pair trading have been in consolidation for the past 7 years.

Looks like next year election will not just have domestic impact but global impact (obviously).

But what makes it more interesting now to look at SGD compared to USD.

1-30 years rates are at ATH compared to the last recession.

Dollar index looks like it wants to go higher? or not..

I personally do see the dollar index going lower.

No complicated economics theory, because its always easier to macro bs than micro bs… you will eventually find whatever excuse to fit the bias you have.

Side note:

  • Looks like this narrative of weakening dollar / higher rates / high inflation / helicopter helps bitcoin alot, where <insert philosophical reason> is the key to full democracy.
  • If you’ve miss out on this bull run like i did, solana airdrop farming is likely the next lucrative thing
  • L2 airdrop farming is still ideal
  • Yield farming still gets interesting but def not a high EV move as compared to punting meme coins (unless you have an edge)

GLGT.

Best Time To Go Japan?

Are you wondering why are all your friends in japan?

1 SGD = 75 Yen – 2020

1 SGD = 111 Yen – 2023

Will the Yen go even higher?

Honestly, I’d think it will go even higher judging price base off USD/JPY.

Intervention by central bank

Reuters

Looks like 2022 intervention did nothing significant. – Up only.

Can’t wait for my japan trip!

Air Miles Mastery

Nothing beats earning more miles from than usual that you know, it is never a passive game but an active game of cards. Would you rather earn 1 miles or 4 miles from $1 spent?

If you’ve not started, 4miles right now is one of the easiest, highest MPD (miles per dollar) you can get for general spending. However, if you’ve googled about “highest mile card”, you would probably have heard about 6 MPD (UOB’s Lady). IMO, I’d this is only good if you’d have a frequent transaction habit on a specific category.

So what are the two cards I think are optimal based on your spending habits:

$1K Monthly Spending Habit:

  • Citi Rewards Card (4MPD) + Amaze (for Offline Transaction)
    – Rewards the first $1k spent through online transaction (doesn’t include Applepay/Paywave | Travel transactions)
    – Amaze converts your offline transaction to online transaction (paywave)

$2K Monthly Spending Habit:

  • Citi Rewards Card (4MPD) + Amaze
  • HSBC Revolution (4MPD)
    – Rewards of 4MPD on 1k per month / this doesn’t include (too much to type out) but it includes alot of items that we (the average people) do spend on.

Obviously there are many more exclusions than whatever i’ve just typed out, if you’d really want to dig further, would strongly recommend https://milelion.com/ and their telegram group.

The hole doesn’t end here, the mastery continues. How do I buy large ticket item and still earn miles on them? (i.e $3k Gucci bag paying instantly will only earn you (4K miles + (0.4MPD * $2k))

  • “Paylater” functions that allows you to pay with your credit card where monthly deduction of $1K will earn you 12K Miles
  • CitiPayall – Delayed payments will earn your miles through their program
    – This function is very interesting as it also allows you to earn miles through certain bills (Insurance, income tax, utilities, etc)

This game will never end, soon amaze might be nerfed (hopefully not) by citibank and 4miles will be the highest. Nonetheless, if you’re working and living, you should learn how to play the game.

Other cards are not used for comparison because i’ve decided that these 2 are suffice for now till my networth grows.